Bitcoin’s (BTC) price is bullish after collecting buy-side liquidity under the $25,357 support level. The ensuing demand pressure has sent BTC up 5% to breach a crucial roadblock. This is marked by the downtrend line at $26,640.
Overhead pressure continues to abound for Bitcoin, with the resistance confluence between the 200- and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) hanging above BTC at $26,987 and $27,401 levels, respectively. The 100-day EMA also adds to the headwinds for the king of crypto at $27,499.
However, the overall outlook points to an impending fall in Bitcoin price. This could potentially send BTC below the $25,357 support level. This base is critical for BTC as it is the mean threshold (midline) of the demand zone order block, where the flagship crypto found support.
If the demand zone fails to hold as support, it could flip into a bearish breaker, with the subsequent selling pressure sending the Bitcoin price to the $24,000 psychological level. This downside will be confirmed upon a break and close below the mean threshold.
Meanwhile, analysts have given the same macro outlook for Bitcoin price, predicting a drop below $25,000.
— Crypto Tony (@CryptoTony__) September 17, 2023
Analysts have also observed that “Open Interest has kept relatively stable during the weekend.
#Bitcoin‘s Open Interest has kept relatively stable during the weekend.
In previous weekends we often saw a big ramp up only for price to wick towards both sides late Sunday or early Monday. Wouldn’t expect too much craziness this time around.
It’s good to note the big walls on… pic.twitter.com/AcIfWc8iST
— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) September 17, 2023
In previous weekends, we often saw a significant ramp up only for the price to wick towards both sides late Sunday or early Monday.
As such, not much craziness is expected this time around. Nevertheless, noting the big walls on Binance’s BTC futures is good, which pushes prices wherever desired. During low volume/liquidity hours (like the weekend), these often mark good reversal areas, as indicated in the circled areas on the chart above.
Momentum indicators also suggest a drop, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) tipping south to show reduced buyer activity. The position of the Awesome Oscillator is also negative, suggesting bears still have a say in the market.
On-chain Metrics: IntoTheBlock
IntoTheBlock’s signal indicates that the market is still “primarily bearish for Bitcoin, adding credence to the downside.
It is also worth mentioning that at the current price of $26,573, 60.34% of BTC addresses are sitting on unrealized profit (in the money). Relatively, 33.88% are sitting on unrealized losses (out of the money), while 5.78% are breaking even (at the money).
With more addresses in the money, profit-appetite remains a threat to Bitcoin price’s upside potential, increasing the odds for a slump.
On the flipside, increased buying pressure could see Bitcoin price move north, breaching the resistance confluence between the 200- and 50-day EMAs at $26,987 and $27,401 levels, respectively. Further north, the people’s crypto could move above the 100-day EMA at $27,499.
A decisive close above this level would open the skies for more gains, potentially going as far as the supply zone at the $29,000 psychological level. Confirmation of the uptrend would occur upon a decisive daily candlestick close above the order block’s mean threshold at $29,367.
Notably, the histogram bars of the AO have maintained a steady green feel and are edging towards the positive side, suggesting bulls are gaining ground. A sustained accumulation pattern could bode well for Bitcoin investors to rake in profits.
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Besides presenting as an opportunity for passive income, staking also reduces selling pressure for BTCBSC, giving the token time to grow in value.
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